ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,528 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Fabian Marozsan.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -33.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.77u | -4.31u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Medvedev
0
Marozsan
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marozsan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 36 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 16 57 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 16 64 16 26 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 62 63 | W 61 46 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | L 63 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | W 63 61 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 67 63 62 | W 63 64 76 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 76 | W 76 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.4% | 66.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 69.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.3% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 31.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.3% | 42.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36.3% | 32.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 25.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.2% | 74.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.4% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 57% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Rei Sakamoto
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Jannik Sinner
BNP Paribas Open · Final
Mar 15
Carlos Alcaraz
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Ethan Quinn
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Denis Shapovalov
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 16
Stefanos Tsitsipas
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Hubert Hurkacz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Damir Dzumhur
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan face off in the Round of 64 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Daniil Medvedev leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Berrettini (Apr 8).
Fabian Marozsan is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Ethan Quinn (Apr 23).
Model consensus currently favors Daniil Medvedev with 60.2% confidence.
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