ATP 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,218 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Medvedev
2
Shapovalov
Oct 30, 2022
Vienna
H Hard · Finals
Aug 18, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 25, 2021
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | L 57 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 36 61 | L 76 46 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 62 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 36 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 76 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 62 36 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 57 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.4% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.4% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.9% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.1% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.6% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 36.5% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 15.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.2 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69% | 54.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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