ATP 250 · Finals · Almaty
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
💥 Big Hitter
Moutet
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,285 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 3.20 |
| ROI % | +32.6% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | -5.71u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Medvedev
2
Moutet
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moutet's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 16 46 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | L 46 63 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 26 46 16 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | W 75 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 62 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 26 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 67 | L 36 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.3% | 66.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.8% | 69.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47.1% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.7% | 37.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 51.1% |
| BP Converted % | 36.7% | 50.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.8 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.1 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.4% | 64% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.2% | 52.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 82% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 15
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Flavio Cobolli
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Daniel Merida
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Ignacio Buse
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Corentin Moutet face off in the Finals at Almaty on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jannik Sinner (May 15).
Corentin Moutet is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (May 9).
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