ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · BNP Paribas Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Michelsen
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,400 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Daniil Medvedev plays Alex Michelsen.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | +5.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | +0.89u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Medvedev
0
Michelsen
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 12/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Medvedev's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 64 26 46 | L 36 36 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 75 46 46 | L 06 64 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 57 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | L 36 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 75 67 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | W 75 67 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 76 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | W 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Medvedev | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.4% | 66.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 74.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 6.7 | 8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.3% | 70.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34% | 27.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| BP Converted % | 37.6% | 36.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 24.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.2% | 71% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.4% | 50.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 72% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Francisco Cerundolo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Rei Sakamoto
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Jannik Sinner
BNP Paribas Open · Final
Mar 15
Carlos Alcaraz
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Arthur Rinderknech
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 13
Alexei Popyrin
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Coleman Wong
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Jannik Sinner
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 24
Alejandro Tabilo
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 23
Matchup overview
Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen face off in the Round of 16 at BNP Paribas Open on Hard.
Daniil Medvedev leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Daniil Medvedev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Berrettini (Apr 8).
Alex Michelsen is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Rinderknech (Apr 13).
Share this match
