ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Estoril
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -52.8% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -7.39u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Moutet
0
Shapovalov
Apr 16, 2024
Bucharest
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 26, 2021
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Moutet's 20%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | W 57 64 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 36 | L 46 16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 64 36 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | L 36 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 36 46 | W 67 60 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 16 46 | W 64 64 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 64 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | W 76 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 46 46 | L 67 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Moutet | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.7% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.7% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.7 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.8% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.9% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 39.1% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27.6 | 15.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.7 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.3% | 54.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 30% | 29% |
Last five matches per player
Abdullah Shelbayh
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 18
Nick Kyrgios
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Vit Kopriva
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Corentin Moutet and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 16 at Estoril on Clay.
Corentin Moutet leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Corentin Moutet is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Abdullah Shelbayh (Jun 22).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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