ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Lincoln
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
⚙️ Grinder
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Colton Smith plays Shintaro Mochizuki.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -22.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.14u | -1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Smith
2
Mochizuki
Jun 20, 2025
Nottingham 2
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 10, 2025
Ilkley
G Grass · Round of 32
Aug 5, 2024
Lincoln
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Smith's 20%).
| Opponent | Smith | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Jurij Rodionov | L 26 67 | W 62 46 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 46 16 | W 76 75 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 67 57 | L 67 46 |
| Keegan Smith | W 76 61 | W 36 63 64 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | L 67 36 | L 06 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Smith | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.4% | 59.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.9% | 65.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.3% | 28.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.2% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.1% | 52.6% |
| BP Converted % | 37.9% | 57.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 78.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 49.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 83% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Clement Chidekh
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 15
Jurij Rodionov
Dublin Challenger · Round of 16
Jun 11
Masamichi Imamura
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Michael Mmoh
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Final
May 31
Andre Ilagan
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Semifinals
May 31
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Colton Smith and Shintaro Mochizuki face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Lincoln on Hard.
Colton Smith leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Colton Smith is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Clement Chidekh (Jun 15).
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Remy Bertola (Jun 18).
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