ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Estoril
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,830 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Casper Ruud here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +4.5% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.91u | -4.50u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Ruud
0
Baez
May 23, 2024
Geneva
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2023
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 7, 2023
Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Ruud and Baez posted a 71% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 63 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | L 46 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | L 16 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 76 | W 75 75 |
| Marcos Giron | W 46 76 64 | W 61 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | W 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ruud | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 68.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.6% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46% | 52.1% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.3% | 60.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 56.1% |
| BP Converted % | 42.6% | 54.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.9 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.8 | 23.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.7% | 58.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.4% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 80% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Casper Ruud and Sebastian Baez face off in the Quarterfinals at Estoril on Clay.
Casper Ruud leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Casper Ruud is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 31).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
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