ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 5,728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Casper Ruud plays Matteo Berrettini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.74u | -3.17u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Ruud
3
Berrettini
Sep 26, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 3, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 7, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2022
Gstaad
C Clay · Finals
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 15, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 5, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
May 29, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Berrettini's 75%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | W 64 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 75 | W 60 60 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 46 63 | W 64 64 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 61 76 | W 62 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ruud | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 66.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 70.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.9% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 6.2 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.9% | 53.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 26.2% | 25.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 38% | 42.8% |
| BP Converted % | 16.9% | 27.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.1 | 21.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22.4 | 28 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.1% | 75.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 45.2% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 43% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Jaume Munar
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Corentin Moutet
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Alexei Popyrin
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 7
Ethan Quinn
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Dino Prizmic
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Joao Fonseca
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 9
Daniil Medvedev
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 8
Ignacio Buse
Grand Prix Hassan II · Round of 32
Mar 31
Valentin Vacherot
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 22
Matchup overview
Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Casper Ruud leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Casper Ruud is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Apr 27).
Matteo Berrettini is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dino Prizmic (Apr 22).
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