ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 64 · Seville
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Noguchi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | +20.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | +3.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Alcaraz
0
Noguchi
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 67.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 34.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 50.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 27.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.4 | 27.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.5% | 60% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 53.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 83% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 16
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Paul Jubb
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Patrick Brady
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Keegan Smith
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Rio Noguchi face off in the Round of 64 at Seville on Clay.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Rio Noguchi is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Clement Tabur (Jun 16).
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