ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Mackenzie McDonald.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | -32.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -3.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Alcaraz
0
McDonald
Aug 16, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 12, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 76 67 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 46 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | L 57 46 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 26 26 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 57 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 63 64 | L 62 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 67 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 64 60 | L 67 76 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 62.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 59.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 46.8% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 26.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.4 | 30.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.5% | 63% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 47.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
Shintaro Mochizuki
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Niels Visker
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Mackenzie McDonald is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Jun 14).
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