ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 16 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,547 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Jan-Lennard Struff.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | -4.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Alcaraz
1
Struff
Jul 5, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Apr 30, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
May 7, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Finals
Jun 28, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jun 4, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Struff's 22%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 67 63 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 67 36 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 64 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 46 76 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | L 36 36 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 46 57 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 63 57 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 36 76 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 56.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 76.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 53% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 8.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 65.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 29.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 53% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 43.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.8 | 24.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 21.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 53% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 83% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff face off in the Round of 16 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Jan-Lennard Struff is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Bublik (Jun 11).
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