Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 895 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | - |
| ROI % | -13.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Alcaraz
2
Draper
May 14, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 15, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 20, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 24, 2022
Basel
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Draper's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 62 62 21 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 16 57 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 76 46 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 64 75 64 | L 67 67 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 64 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | W 64 57 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 64 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.8 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 0% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Novak Djokovic
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Quarterfinals
Mar 11
Francisco Cerundolo
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Roberto Bautista Agut
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Jack Draper is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Novak Djokovic (Mar 11).
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