Completed

ATP Masters 1000 · Quarterfinals · ATP Masters 1000 Rome

Carlos AlcarazvsJack Draper

May 14, 2025C Clay

Match Result

Final score & match stats

#2Carlos Alcaraz[3]

#112Jack Draper[5]

AlcarazDraper

1st Serve %68%61%

1st Serve Won56%61%

2nd Serve Won47%58%

Serve Pts Won53%60%

BP Saved0/46/8

Return Pts Won40%47%

Total Pts Won45%55%

Winners824

Unforced Errors1729

Aces11

Double Faults23

1st Serve Speed201 kph192 kph

2nd Serve Speed164 kph162 kph

Max Serve Speed215 kph216 kph

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Draper

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 895 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Alcaraz	Draper
W-L	5–1	-
Avg odds	1.20	-
ROI %	-13.0%	-
Units P/L	-0.78u	-

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings

Alcaraz

Draper

May 14, 2025

ATP Masters 1000 Rome

C Clay · Quarterfinals

Alcaraz

Mar 15, 2025

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells

H Hard · Semifinals

Draper

Jan 14, 2025

Australian Open

H Hard · Round of 16

Alcaraz

Jun 20, 2024

London / Queen's Club

G Grass · Round of 16

7⁷6³

Draper

Oct 24, 2022

Basel

H Hard · Round of 32

Alcaraz

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Draper's 50%).

Opponent	Alcaraz	Draper
Sebastian Baez	W 61 63	W 62 62 21
Daniil Medvedev	L 36 67	L 16 57
Novak Djokovic	W 26 62 63 75	W 46 64 76
Arthur Rinderknech	W 67 63 62	L 57 76 46
Reilly Opelka	W 64 75 64	L 67 67
Roberto Bautista Agut	W 64 64	W 36 63 62
Brandon Nakashima	W 62 64	W 64 57 64
Jiri Lehecka	W 64 62 64	L 46 64 57

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Alcaraz	Draper
Serve
1st Serve In %	61.6%	0%
1st Serve Pts Won %	71.5%	0%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	55.4%	0%
Aces / Match	2.8	0
Double Faults / Match	2.7	0
Break Points Saved %	43.3%	0%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	42.1%	0%
2nd Return Pts Won %	57.7%	0%
BP Converted %	51.9%	0%
Rally
Winners / Match	21.8	0
Unforced Errors / Match	29.8	0
Net Pts Won %	62.9%	0%
Total Pts Won %	56.3%	0%
Surface (Clay)
Clay Win %	83%	0%

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz

WWLWW

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32

Apr 14

Valentin Vacherot

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals

Apr 11

Jannik Sinner

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final

7⁷6⁵

Apr 11

Alexander Bublik

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals

Apr 10

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16

Apr 8

Draper

WLWLW

Novak Djokovic

BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16

7⁷6⁵

Mar 11

Daniil Medvedev

BNP Paribas Open · Quarterfinals

Mar 11

Francisco Cerundolo

BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32

Mar 9

Reilly Opelka

Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64

7⁷6³

7⁷6⁰

Mar 8

Roberto Bautista Agut

BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64

Mar 7