ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · Oeiras 3
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Bagnis
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 899 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | - |
| ROI % | -13.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
4
Alcaraz
0
Bagnis
Mar 24, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jul 29, 2022
Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 22, 2021
Oeiras 3
C Clay · Finals
Sep 4, 2020
Cordenons
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnis's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 67 64 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.8 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 0% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 83% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Facundo Bagnis face off in the Finals at Oeiras 3 on Clay.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 4-0 over 4 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Facundo Bagnis is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Francesco Maestrelli (Sep 29).
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