ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,200 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Carlos Alcaraz plays Denis Shapovalov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Alcaraz
0
Shapovalov
Mar 10, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 2, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Shapovalov's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 46 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 63 26 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 36 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 75 46 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 76 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 62 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 46 |
| Luca Nardi | W 61 64 | L 76 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.8 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.8 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.9% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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