ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Buenos Aires
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlos Alcaraz here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | +0.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | +0.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Alcaraz
0
Carabelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Carabelli's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 16 61 36 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 75 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 67 26 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 06 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 76 16 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 46 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 64 60 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Alcaraz | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.5% | 70.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 51.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.3% | 64% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 42.1% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.7% | 54.2% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 37.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.4 | 33.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.5% | 69.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.3% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 83% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Carlos Alcaraz and Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off in the Round of 16 at Buenos Aires on Clay.
Carlos Alcaraz leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
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