ITF M25 · Final · M25 Sintra
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
💥 Big Hitter
Bailly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carlo Alberto Caniato here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -20.6% | -32.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.27u | -2.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
0
Bailly
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both and Bailly posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Aristotelis Thanos | L 46 61 57 | L |
| Harold Mayot | L 64 26 46 | W 46 60 61 |
| Rudolf Molleker | W 63 36 75 | W 57 63 64 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | W 76 75 | L 36 76 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.3% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 59.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.7% | 51.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.9% | 48.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.6% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.6% | 54.9% |
| BP Converted % | 35% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.4 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.4 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.8% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.5% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Bondioli
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Marco Cecchinato
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 8
Giuseppe La Vela
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Milos Karol
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Matchup overview
Carlo Alberto Caniato and Gilles Arnaud Bailly face off in the Final at M25 Sintra on Hard.
Carlo Alberto Caniato leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Carlo Alberto Caniato is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Bondioli (Jun 10).
Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aristotelis Thanos (Jun 12).
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