Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Carlo Alberto Caniato
#306 · 21 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#484 · 21 yrs · R
5TitleCarlo Alberto Caniato and Gilles Arnaud Bailly have met 1 time since 2025; Carlo Alberto Caniato leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Caniato leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Caniato has taken 2 sets to Bailly's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlo Alberto Caniato won at M25 Sintra 2 (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Hersonissos 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 9 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Carlo Alberto Caniato and Gilles Arnaud Bailly meet next at the Hersonissos 3 Challenger on November 9 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alberto Caniato | Arnaud Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlo Alberto Caniato | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 32/38 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 16/65 | 38% | 20/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 12/20 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 12/27 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 37/44 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 32/44 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alberto Caniato 1, Arnaud Bailly 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Caniato
💥 Big Hitter
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlo Alberto Caniato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 2, 2025
M25 Sintra 2
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Caniato | Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlo Alberto Caniato | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 20/23 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 10/23 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +9.5% | -21.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.90u | -2.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Caniato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Bailly's 22%).
| Opponent | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Kilian Feldbausch | L 46 46 | L 26 26 |
| Max Wiskandt | W 62 63 | L 57 36 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | W 76 64 | W 75 67 62 |
| Alex Barrena | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
| Calvin Hemery | L 36 16 | L |
| Hugo Dellien | L 36 57 | L 46 06 |
| Norbert Gombos | L 67 67 | L 64 16 46 |
| Hynek Barton | L 16 36 | L 36 26 |
| Miguel Damas | W 64 64 | L 57 62 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kilian Feldbausch
Taranto Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 7
Francesco Maestrelli
Taranto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Philip Henning
Taranto Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Lorenzo Giustino
Taranto Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Marco Trungelliti
Lisbon Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Diogo Morais
Lisbon Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Marvin Moeller
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Daniel Siniakov
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Cezar Cretu
M25 Heraklion · Final
Nov 8
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Heraklion · Semifinals
Nov 7
Miles Jones
M25 Heraklion · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Benjamin Pietri
M25 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Demetris Azoides
M25 Heraklion · 1st Round
Nov 3
James Mackinlay
M25 Malta · 1st Round
Oct 28
Clement Chidekh
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–65 matches
| Metric | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Caniato | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |