ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Sarasota
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alves
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mateus Alves here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.09u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Carabelli
0
Alves
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alves's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 64 67 46 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 62.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 61.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 23.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 48.4% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 15% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 44.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Hernan Casanova
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Bruno Kuzuhara
Tallahassee Tennis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Karl Poling
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Banorte Tennis Open · Round of 32
Apr 1
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Morelia Open · Round of 32
Mar 12
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Mateus Alves face off in the Round of 32 at Sarasota on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Mateus Alves is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hernan Casanova (May 6).
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