ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nishikori
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,182 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Kei Nishikori here.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Carabelli
0
Nishikori
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 60.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 67.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 64.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 35.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 53.9% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 46.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 39.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.5% | 68.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 52% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Yibing Wu
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Clement Tabur
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Kei Nishikori face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Kei Nishikori is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Colton Smith (Apr 21).
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