ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Salinas 2
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Uchida
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Kaichi Uchida here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 1–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 3.84 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -83.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.09u | -7.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Carabelli
0
Uchida
May 28, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 28, 2021
Salinas 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 30, 2020
Campinas
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Carabelli and Uchida posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Kei Nishikori | W 75 63 | W 62 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 55.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 70.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 52.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 39% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 42.8% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 36.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 14.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 14.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Kaichi Uchida face off in the Round of 32 at Salinas 2 on Hard.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Kaichi Uchida is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Quinn Vandecasteele (Jun 14).
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