ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Tigre 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 4,672 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.09u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Carabelli
0
Varillas
Feb 13, 2024
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 30, 2022
Tigre 2
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | L 36 26 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | L 36 67 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 36 46 | L 26 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 26 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Semifinals at Tigre 2 on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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