ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Rosario
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Justo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Camilo Ugo Carabelli here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Justo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.09u | -0.21u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Carabelli
0
Justo
Feb 3, 2026
Quini 6 Rosario Challenger presentado por el Gobierno de Santa Fe
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 6, 2025
Rosario
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Carabelli and Justo posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Justo |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 75 60 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Justo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 67.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 67.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 57.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 55.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 42.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 59.3% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 58.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 24.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.6 | 33.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 79% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 56.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Nick Hardt
CIT Open · Semifinals
Jun 17
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
CIT Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 14
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Semifinals
Jun 13
Thiago Cigarran
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Hernan Casanova
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 16
Jun 11
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Guido Ivan Justo face off in the Round of 16 at Rosario on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Guido Ivan Justo is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nick Hardt (Jun 17).
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