ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Umag
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Passaro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,469 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francesco Passaro here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 3.67 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Carabelli
1
Passaro
Jul 22, 2025
Umag
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 26, 2022
San Benedetto Del Tronto
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Passaro's 25%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | L 57 64 46 63 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | W 76 67 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 75 57 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 64 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Carabelli | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.6% | 40.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.6% | 38.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4.4 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64% | 16.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.2% | 47.6% |
| BP Converted % | 37.5% | 20% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.6 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.9 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.5% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.3% | 38.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 56% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Oriol Roca Batalla
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alejandro Tabilo
Rio Open presented by Claro · Round of 16
Feb 18
Dino Prizmic
Rio Open presented by Claro · Round of 32
Feb 17
Vilius Gaubas
Rio Open presented by Claro · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Elmer Moller
Rio Open presented by Claro · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Matchup overview
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Francesco Passaro face off in the Round of 16 at Umag on Clay.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Andrey Rublev (May 27).
Francesco Passaro is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Oriol Roca Batalla (Jun 16).
Share this match
