ATP 500 · Finals · Rio de Janeiro
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
💥 Big Hitter
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 616 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Cameron Norrie here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.57 | 1.14 |
| ROI % | +5.1% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.76u | -2.46u |
Prior meetings and scores · 9 career meetings
3
Norrie
6
Alcaraz
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 28, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 9, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Finals
Feb 19, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Finals
Aug 19, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 5, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 17, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2021
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 62 26 | W 75 62 61 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 61 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 75 64 | L 36 75 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | W 76 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | W 62 75 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 46 76 26 36 | W 26 62 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.3% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.3% | 56.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.5% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.3% | 37.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47% | 58.4% |
| BP Converted % | 44.1% | 53.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.7 | 24.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28 | 25.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.6% | 69.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 56% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 83% |
Last five matches per player
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jannik Sinner
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Matchup overview
Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz face off in the Finals at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Cameron Norrie leads 3-6 over 9 previous meetings.
Cameron Norrie is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (May 26).
Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Apr 14).
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