Other · Round Robin · Intesa Sanpaolo Next Gen ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,316 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -23.1% | -7.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | -0.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Nakashima
0
Cerundolo
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cerundolo's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 67 26 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | L 75 26 16 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | L 26 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 06 | L 67 63 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | L 57 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 76 67 63 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 67 | L 26 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | W 61 36 64 |
| Jordan Thompson | W 67 76 62 | L 76 57 16 16 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 67 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.2% | 62.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.3% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| Aces / Match | 9.5 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.6% | 63.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.3% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.3% | 52.2% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 52.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.6 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 22 | 29.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73.7% | 73% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Martin Damm
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Marin Cilic
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Brandon Nakashima
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jesper de Jong
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Giulio Zeppieri
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Pedro Martinez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Match summary
Brandon Nakashima, ranked 33rd, will face Juan Manuel Cerundolo, ranked 69th, in the Round of 32 at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on April 13, 2026. The match takes place on outdoor clay courts in Spain. Nakashima and Cerundolo have met once before, with Nakashima taking that encounter. The two players bring contrasting styles to the court, with Nakashima relying heavily on his serve and Cerundolo known for his aggressive baseline play and physical intensity.
Nakashima has posted a 50% win rate on clay surfaces throughout his career, while Cerundolo has thrived on the red dirt with a 70% record. In recent form, the two players are heading in different directions. Cerundolo arrives at Barcelona riding a two-match winning streak and has won 8 of his last 10 matches overall. Nakashima, by contrast, is searching for momentum after winning just 2 of his last 5 matches and bringing a one-match losing streak into this contest.
Looking at their performance against common opponents provides additional context. Cerundolo has had more success, defeating Alejandro Tabilo and Pedro Martinez in recent meetings while Nakashima fell to both of those players. Nakashima did pick up wins against Hamad Medjedovic and Yunchaokete Bu where Cerundolo struggled. Both players faced Daniil Medvedev recently and came up short in those matches.
Nakashima's game centers on a powerful serve that can dominate rallies from the start, a key weapon on any surface. Cerundolo counters with relentless court coverage and a willingness to engage in long, grinding exchanges. The clay surface typically favors players who can sustain rallies and move effectively side to side, which plays into Cerundolo's strengths and requires Nakashima to find quick points through his serve.
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