Other · Round Robin · Intesa Sanpaolo Next Gen ATP Finals
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,992 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Brandon Nakashima here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -60.0% | +129.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.20u | +23.34u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Nakashima
0
Cerundolo
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | W 76 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 57 61 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 62 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | W 62 62 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | W 64 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 75 | L 16 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | L 75 26 16 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 06 | L 67 63 36 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 67 26 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | L 57 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nakashima | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.3% | 59.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.4% | 70.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.5% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 41.3% | 59% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.8% | 31.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| BP Converted % | 58% | 52.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.4 | 27.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.7% | 72% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.2% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Roberto Bautista Agut
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Martin Landaluce
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Jannik Sinner
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jacob Fearnley
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Raphael Collignon
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Final
May 16
Match summary
Brandon Nakashima, ranked 33rd, will face Juan Manuel Cerundolo, ranked 69th, in the Round of 32 at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on April 13, 2026. The match takes place on outdoor clay courts in Spain. Nakashima and Cerundolo have met once before, with Nakashima taking that encounter. The two players bring contrasting styles to the court, with Nakashima relying heavily on his serve and Cerundolo known for his aggressive baseline play and physical intensity.
Nakashima has posted a 50% win rate on clay surfaces throughout his career, while Cerundolo has thrived on the red dirt with a 70% record. In recent form, the two players are heading in different directions. Cerundolo arrives at Barcelona riding a two-match winning streak and has won 8 of his last 10 matches overall. Nakashima, by contrast, is searching for momentum after winning just 2 of his last 5 matches and bringing a one-match losing streak into this contest.
Looking at their performance against common opponents provides additional context. Cerundolo has had more success, defeating Alejandro Tabilo and Pedro Martinez in recent meetings while Nakashima fell to both of those players. Nakashima did pick up wins against Hamad Medjedovic and Yunchaokete Bu where Cerundolo struggled. Both players faced Daniil Medvedev recently and came up short in those matches.
Nakashima's game centers on a powerful serve that can dominate rallies from the start, a key weapon on any surface. Cerundolo counters with relentless court coverage and a willingness to engage in long, grinding exchanges. The clay surface typically favors players who can sustain rallies and move effectively side to side, which plays into Cerundolo's strengths and requires Nakashima to find quick points through his serve.
Share this match
