ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Melbourne 1
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Botic van de Zandschulp plays Reilly Opelka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Zandschulp
2
Opelka
Oct 23, 2025
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 19, 2025
Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2021
Melbourne 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Zandschulp's 30%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | L 46 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 67 | L 57 67 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 75 61 | W 63 75 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | L 36 46 |
| Nuno Borges | L 67 67 | W 67 62 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 67 57 | W 76 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 64 36 67 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 46 76 76 | L 57 26 76 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zandschulp | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.6% | 69.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.1% | 78.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.3% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 3.1 | 10.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.9 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 33.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.8% | 24% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.2% | 36.7% |
| BP Converted % | 38.8% | 10.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.7 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.7 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.2% | 77.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Harry Wendelken
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Francisco Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Quentin Halys
BNP Paribas Primrose Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 15
Karen Khachanov
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matchup overview
Botic van de Zandschulp and Reilly Opelka face off in the Round of 16 at Melbourne 1 on Hard.
Botic van de Zandschulp leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Botic van de Zandschulp is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tommy Paul (Jun 12).
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
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