WTA 500 · Semifinals · Tokyo Olympics
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,425 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Belinda Bencic plays Elena Rybakina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | +71.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.69u | +13.52u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Bencic
1
Rybakina
Feb 3, 2025
Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 27, 2021
Chicago 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bencic and Rybakina posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Boulter | W 60 75 | L |
| Elina Svitolina | L | L |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 60 | W 75 46 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 57 64 75 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 76 | W 63 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 16 76 36 | W 76 26 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 36 75 75 | W 75 61 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 76 76 | W 75 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 62 67 63 | W 64 67 63 |
| Madison Keys | L 64 36 26 | W 67 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bencic | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.2% | 60.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.3% | 72.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 54.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.7% | 39.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37.5% | 38.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.9% | 56.2% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 48.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.6% | 55.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Belinda Bencic and Elena Rybakina face off in the Semifinals at Tokyo Olympics on Hard.
Belinda Bencic leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Belinda Bencic is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elina Svitolina (May 31).
Elena Rybakina is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Jun 18).
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