ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Sopot
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
🎯 Baseliner
Giustino
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aslan Karatsev here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.10 |
| ROI % | - | -51.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Karatsev
0
Giustino
Mar 6, 2025
Hersonissos 1
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 31, 2019
Sopot
C Clay · Round of 32
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Karatsev | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.8% | 60.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 82.5% | 67.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 31.6% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 11 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 75% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 50% | 29.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 61.5% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 62.5% | 39.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 22.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 74.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 61.1% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 17% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aslan Karatsev and Lorenzo Giustino face off in the Round of 32 at Sopot on Clay.
Aslan Karatsev leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Aslan Karatsev is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Christian Djonov (Apr 13).
Lorenzo Giustino is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maks Kasnikowski (Jun 8).
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