WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Strasbourg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Siegemund
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,456 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Laura Siegemund.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.64u | -0.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Sabalenka
0
Siegemund
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Siegemund's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 76 26 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L |
| Daria Kasatkina | W | L 26 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 61 | L 63 26 46 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 06 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 46 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 06 75 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 74.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.8% | 58% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 46% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.5% | 59.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 37.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.5% | 59.1% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 48.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.5% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 75% | 55% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Laura Siegemund face off in the Round of 16 at Strasbourg on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Laura Siegemund is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Naomi Osaka (May 26).
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