WTA 1000 · Semifinals · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,559 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Aryna Sabalenka plays Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–1 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +1.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.11u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Sabalenka
2
Pavlyuchenkova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 17%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W | W 36 64 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 36 16 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | L 26 16 |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | W 63 61 | L 46 62 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 57.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.8% | 50% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.5% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 24.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.5% | 61.9% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 16.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.5% | 42.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova face off in the Semifinals at Madrid on Clay.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Apr 21).
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