Grand Slam · Final · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,233 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Amanda Anisimova here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -10.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.64u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 11 career meetings
5
Sabalenka
6
Anisimova
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Final
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Semifinals
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 5, 2024
Toronto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2022
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 4, 2022
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 16
May 27, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Anisimova's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W | W 67 76 63 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 64 46 62 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 75 63 | W 61 64 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 63 64 | W 62 46 64 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 60 26 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 64 | L 46 16 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 76 46 76 | W 61 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 64 26 63 | L 61 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Sabalenka | Anisimova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.4% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.8% | 58.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 48.6% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.5% | 33.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.2% | 38% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.5% | 66.2% |
| BP Converted % | 45.2% | 42.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.5% | 50.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 100% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova face off in the Final at Us Open on Hard.
Aryna Sabalenka leads 5-6 over 11 previous meetings.
Aryna Sabalenka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diana Shnaider (Jun 3).
Amanda Anisimova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Diane Parry (May 30).
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