WTA 500 · Round of 16 · Strasbourg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jessica Pegula here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +32.9% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.92u | -1.17u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
1
Kalinskaya
4
Pegula
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
May 18, 2025
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin
G Grass · Final
Jul 29, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Kalinskaya's 60%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 46 76 75 | W |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | W 76 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | L |
| Belinda Bencic | W 64 63 | W 63 76 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 16 26 | W 46 63 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | W 64 60 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | W 64 57 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 26 76 | W 36 63 62 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 75 | W 46 64 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 63 16 57 | W 62 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.5% | 63.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 60.2% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43% | 50.3% |
| Aces / Match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.1% | 65.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.9% | 40.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 62.3% | 53.4% |
| BP Converted % | 58.7% | 39.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.4% | 53.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 72% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anna Kalinskaya and Jessica Pegula face off in the Round of 16 at Strasbourg on Clay.
Anna Kalinskaya leads 1-4 over 5 previous meetings.
Anna Kalinskaya is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maja Chwalinska (Jun 3).
Jessica Pegula is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Katerina Siniakova (Jun 17).
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