ATP 250 · Finals · Belgrade
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Andrey Rublev plays Novak Djokovic.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | -1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
1
Rublev
5
Djokovic
Nov 4, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2023
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2022
Belgrade
C Clay · Finals
Nov 17, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 75 76 76 | W 76 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | W 36 63 46 64 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 63 60 64 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 64 64 64 | L 62 26 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 63 75 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 63 46 46 | W 64 16 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 76 26 46 | W 76 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 62 26 36 57 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 46 36 31 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 70.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 73.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 56.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 60.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 50.1% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 71.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Valentin Royer
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Dino Prizmic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jack Draper
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Novak Djokovic face off in the Finals at Belgrade on Clay.
Andrey Rublev leads 1-5 over 6 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Novak Djokovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 29).
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