Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 696 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Andrey Rublev plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -13.9% | -17.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.09u | -2.62u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
4
Rublev
4
Minaur
Feb 20, 2025
Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 16, 2024
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 3, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2023
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 13, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Nov 8, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 4, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 64 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 57 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 62 46 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 36 64 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | L 64 67 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 76 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | L 36 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | W 76 26 62 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 16 61 | W 75 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 66.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.9% | 56.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.4% | 27.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53% | 47.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.4% | 32.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.5 | 18.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26 | 36.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 62.8% | 69.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.6% | 48% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 13
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Tommy Paul
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Luciano Darderi
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Francisco Cerundolo
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Andrey Rublev leads 4-4 over 8 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (May 27).
Alex de Minaur is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Toby Samuel (May 25).
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