ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Astana
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Mannarino
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 4.06 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -47.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | -5.69u |
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Rublev
1
Mannarino
Jul 5, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Oct 9, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 7, 2022
Astana
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 21, 2021
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mannarino's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 76 36 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | W 57 76 76 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 76 67 36 | W 64 36 75 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 67 63 75 | L 46 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 36 46 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 36 63 16 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 66.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.1% | 68.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 45.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.5% | 53.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 28.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 41.4% | 31.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.6 | 19.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.4 | 29.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.7% | 64.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino face off in the Quarterfinals at Astana on Hard.
Andrey Rublev leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
Adrian Mannarino is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 13).
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