ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Modena
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collarini
🧱 The Wall
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,634 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Juan Pablo Varillas here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -38.0% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 12 career meetings
5
Collarini
7
Varillas
Jan 16, 2026
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 15, 2025
Tallahassee
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 9, 2024
Villa Maria
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 4, 2024
Modena
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2023
Concepcion
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 11, 2022
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 17, 2022
Concepcion 2
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 28, 2021
Lima 2
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 8, 2021
Aix en Provence
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 10, 2021
Rome 1
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Collarini and Varillas posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | L 67 46 | L 62 26 36 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 64 63 | W 63 46 63 |
| Luis Guto Miguel | W 67 75 62 | W 75 60 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 67 26 | L 06 57 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 64 62 | L 26 67 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 26 64 36 | L 63 26 46 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 61 16 26 | L 46 26 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 63 46 26 | L 67 26 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 62 64 | W 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.5% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 57.9% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.2% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 1.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.3 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.9% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.5% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 17.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.5 | 30.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 49.3% | 67.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.4% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Coria
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 16
Jun 11
Julian Cundom
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion San Miguel de Tucuman · Round of 32
Jun 10
Juan Estevez
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Córdoba · Round of 32
May 12
Miguel Tobon
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Córdoba · Round of 16
May 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger de Santiago - Dove Men Care · Round of 16
Mar 11
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Andrea Collarini and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Quarterfinals at Modena on Clay.
Andrea Collarini leads 5-7 over 12 previous meetings.
Andrea Collarini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Coria (Jun 11).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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