WTA 500 · Round of 32 · Dubai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,908 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–5 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.67 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +109.0% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | +26.16u | +10.94u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Potapova
2
Keys
Mar 5, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 7, 2021
Dubai
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 14, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Potapova and Keys posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Potapova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 62 | W |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 36 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 75 | W |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 62 57 06 | W |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | W |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 76 46 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 67 63 | W 63 63 |
| Donna Vekic | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Potapova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.3% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.8% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.6 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.6% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 43.3% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.9% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 56.4% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54.7% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 32 at Dubai on Hard.
Anastasia Potapova leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Anastasia Potapova is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Suzan Lamens (Jun 10).
Madison Keys is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jessica Pegula (Jun 19).
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