ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · BNP Paribas Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,422 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -23.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -3.01u |
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
6
Zverev
0
Nakashima
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 12, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 13, 2025
Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 2, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
May 27, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 3, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 96% | 22/23 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 16/23 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 35% | 8/23 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 15 or more | 22% | 5/23 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/14 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 36 | W 75 63 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
| Martin Damm | W 62 64 | W 76 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 62 57 64 | L 62 46 67 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 63 67 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 67 61 75 | W 63 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 67 | L 36 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 67 76 76 57 | L 26 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 63 67 61 76 | W 76 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 75 46 63 61 | W 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Zverev | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.8% | 67.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.4% | 76.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.4% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.2% | 50.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.6% | 24.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.2% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 39.3% | 42.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.3 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.2 | 22 |
| Net Pts Won % | 74.7% | 73.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.8% | 51% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 73% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Flavio Cobolli
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Semifinals
Apr 18
Francisco Cerundolo
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Gabriel Diallo
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 16
Apr 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Martin Damm
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Marin Cilic
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 21
Matchup overview
Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Round of 32 at BNP Paribas Open on Hard.
Alexander Zverev leads 6-0 over 6 previous meetings.
Alexander Zverev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Flavio Cobolli (Apr 18).
Brandon Nakashima is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Arthur Fils (Apr 16).
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