ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,936 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alexander Bublik here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Bublik
0
Baena
Apr 27, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 1, 2017
Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 46 | L 57 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L 67 57 64 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 46 26 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 26 | L 60 36 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 16 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 26 26 67 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | L 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bublik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.8% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 9.7 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.7% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.2% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 38.4% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.9 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59.4% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.5% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 56% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Alexander Bublik and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Alexander Bublik leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 13).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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