ATP 250 · Final · Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alexander Bublik plays Lorenzo Musetti.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | -1.48u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Bublik
0
Musetti
Jan 11, 2026
Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open
H Hard · Final
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Musetti posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 46 | W 62 75 64 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 36 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | W 64 75 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | W 64 76 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 75 | W 63 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 46 16 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 63 36 46 | L 67 57 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 75 64 75 | L 57 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bublik | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.8% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 9.7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.7% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.2% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 38.4% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 18.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.7 | 24.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.4% | 71.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.5% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Alexander Bublik and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Final at Bank of China Hong Kong Tennis Open on Hard.
Alexander Bublik leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 13).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
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