ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alexander Bublik plays Denis Shapovalov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Bublik
0
Shapovalov
Jan 31, 2024
Montpellier
H Hard · Round of 16
May 3, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 16, 2020
Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | W 64 61 64 | L 76 46 57 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 36 57 | L 67 57 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 62 36 64 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | W 64 36 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 76 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.8% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.9% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 9.7 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.7% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.2% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 38.4% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.8 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.7 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 61.4% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.5% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 29% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alexander Bublik and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Alexander Bublik leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Alexander Bublik is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 13).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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