ATP Challenger Tour · 2nd Round Qualifying · Champaign
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cassone
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,896 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Rybakov here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -2.9% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.32u | -2.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Rybakov
1
Cassone
Feb 7, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2023
Champaign
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Cassone's 33%).
| Opponent | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Kozlov | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 76 67 06 | L 67 36 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 76 63 | L 61 26 36 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 76 64 | W 61 64 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 36 36 | L 67 26 |
| Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | W 76 64 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.4% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 71.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 44.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.9 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.8% | 47.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 24.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 37.6% |
| BP Converted % | 54.4% | 37.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 18.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.3 | 35.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 82.1% | 88.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Yuta Shimizu
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 16
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Ronald Hohmann
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 32
May 26
Liam Broady
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Pavel Kotov
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche · Quarterfinals
Mar 13
Matchup overview
Alex Rybakov and Murphy Cassone face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Champaign on Hard.
Alex Rybakov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Alex Rybakov is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Bruno Kuzuhara (Jun 17).
Murphy Cassone is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Yuta Shimizu (Jun 4).
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