Alex Rybakov vs Murphy CassonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Murphy Cassone have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 2 sets to Cassone's 2. Their most recent meeting: Murphy Cassone won at Nexo Dallas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Murphy Cassone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 18/45 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Cassone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🎾 All-Court
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Murphy Cassone.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2023
Champaign
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakov | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Rybakov | Murphy Cassone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.79u | -1.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GBR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cassone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Rybakov's 30%).
| Opponent | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | L 57 36 | W 64 63 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 76 64 | W 62 61 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 46 57 | W 67 62 75 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 63 46 36 | L 61 26 36 |
| Stefan Kozlov | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 76 67 06 | L 67 36 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 36 36 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Fares Zakaria
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Billy Blaydes
M25 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matthew Summers
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Charlie Robertson
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andre Ilagan
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Tung-Lin Wu
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Blaise Bicknell
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tristan Schoolkate
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Yuta Shimizu
Tyler Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–48 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 52% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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