Alex Rybakov vs Murphy CassonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Murphy Cassone have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Champaign in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 2 sets to Cassone's 2. Their most recent meeting: Murphy Cassone won at Nexo Dallas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Murphy Cassone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 15/25 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 36% | 19/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Cassone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🏹 Frontrunner
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Murphy Cassone.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2023
Champaign
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakov | Cassone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Rybakov | Murphy Cassone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 7–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -37.6% | +30.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | +2.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cassone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rybakov's 25%).
| Opponent | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Charles Broom | L 57 36 | W 64 63 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 46 57 | W 67 62 75 |
| Stefan Kozlov | W 76 62 | L 67 57 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 76 67 06 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matthew Forbes
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Karue Sell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Dan Martin
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Clement Tabur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Hugo Car
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–53 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 58% |
| Sets won | 46% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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