ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.11u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Molcan
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Molcan's 50%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 57 75 75 |
| Milos Karol | W 63 64 | L 76 57 67 |
| Felix Gill | L 62 57 67 | W 46 63 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 46 26 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 06 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Billy Harris | W 61 76 | W 75 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | L 67 76 26 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 64 | W 62 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Molcan | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.7% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.7% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.2% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 46.2% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.3 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.3 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.8% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.7% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 76% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Fabian Marozsan
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 22
Murphy Cassone
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Ziga Sesko
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Sebastian Baez
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Hynek Barton
Unicredit Czech Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Matchup overview
Alex Molcan and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 16 at Hamburg on Clay.
Alex Molcan leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex Molcan is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Fabian Marozsan (Jun 22).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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