ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
⚙️ Grinder
O'Connell
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,236 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Christopher O'Connell here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 0–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -23.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.34u | -7.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Michelsen
0
O'Connell
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs O'Connell's 33%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 76 63 36 63 | L 64 67 76 26 36 |
| Mariano Navone | W 26 62 75 | L 46 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 63 64 | L 64 57 26 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 75 67 64 | W 76 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 46 16 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 64 76 | L 75 36 57 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 76 63 | W 76 60 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | L 36 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 75 | W 64 46 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Michelsen | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 58.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 63% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 48.1% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.3% | 49.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.6% | 26.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 44.2% |
| BP Converted % | 36% | 81.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.4 | 20.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.1 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 69.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 45.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Darwin Blanch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Elias Ymer
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 3
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Dusan Lajovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Matchup overview
Alex Michelsen and Christopher O'Connell face off in the Round of 16 at Tokyo on Hard.
Alex Michelsen leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Alex Michelsen is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 29).
Christopher O'Connell is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Darwin Blanch (Jun 10).
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