ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Los Cabos
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
⚙️ Grinder
Minaur
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 403 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -23.9% | -13.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.34u | -1.92u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Michelsen
2
Minaur
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 30%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 36 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | W 62 46 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 16 | W 36 64 63 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | W 64 62 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 36 36 | W 76 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | W 76 67 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | W 63 36 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | L 46 63 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 75 67 64 | W 76 26 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 57 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Michelsen | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 62.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 65.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.3% | 56.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| BP Converted % | 36% | 41.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.4 | 18.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.1 | 37.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 69.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex Michelsen and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 16 at Los Cabos on Hard.
Alex Michelsen leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Alex Michelsen is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 29).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Martin Damm (Jun 11).
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