ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Houston
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
⚙️ Grinder
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,046 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Adrian Mannarino here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 4.42 |
| ROI % | -23.9% | -59.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.34u | -5.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Michelsen
1
Mannarino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Mannarino's 22%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 36 36 | W 76 36 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | L 36 46 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 | L 67 46 62 26 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 64 | L 64 26 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 67 | L 46 67 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 76 63 | L 36 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 16 | L 67 67 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 36 76 64 | L 36 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Michelsen | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 65.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.2% | 63.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.9% | 44% |
| Aces / Match | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.3% | 59% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.6% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.5% | 48.6% |
| BP Converted % | 36% | 30.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.4 | 14.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.1 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 59.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 45.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 46% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex Michelsen and Adrian Mannarino face off in the Round of 16 at Houston on Clay.
Alex Michelsen leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Alex Michelsen is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 29).
Adrian Mannarino is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Arthur Rinderknech (Jun 11).
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