ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Rotterdam
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
⚙️ Grinder
Korda
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,362 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sebastian Korda here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +86.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.62u | +3.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Minaur
1
Korda
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 60%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 76 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | L 57 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 57 26 16 | W 63 57 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | W 60 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 62 | W 75 60 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 16 76 67 | W 76 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 62 63 | W 64 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 76 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.9% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.1% | 67% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.9% | 52.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.8% | 22.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 50% |
| BP Converted % | 32.2% | 45.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.9 | 21.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.5 | 28.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.4% | 72.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48% | 46.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Tommy Paul
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Luciano Darderi
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 20
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 16
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 5
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Sebastian Korda face off in the Round of 32 at Rotterdam on Hard.
Alex de Minaur leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jakub Mensik (May 29).
Sebastian Korda is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Martin Landaluce (Mar 16).
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