ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Braga
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Giustino
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -12.4% | -51.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -3.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Minaur
0
Giustino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Minaur and Giustino posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kypson | L 16 76 67 | L 46 26 |
| Filip Misolic | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 60.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.9% | 67.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.5 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30% | 29.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.7% | 39.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.3 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.4 | 22.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.9% | 74.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 17% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Giustino face off in the Round of 16 at Braga on Clay.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Lorenzo Giustino is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maks Kasnikowski (Jun 8).
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